Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.155617 0.166774 0.178468 0.191663 0.206169 0.221661 0.239503
2025-07-27 0.135987 0.152925 0.171845 0.194678 0.221662 0.252755 0.291611
2025-08-03 0.120766 0.140827 0.164352 0.194282 0.231788 0.277836 0.339604
2025-08-10 0.108851 0.130567 0.157027 0.192151 0.238345 0.298188 0.383573
2025-08-17 0.098280 0.120531 0.148476 0.186866 0.239401 0.310601 0.417761
2025-08-24 0.090366 0.112945 0.142053 0.183256 0.241667 0.324135 0.454551
2025-08-31 0.083942 0.106657 0.136616 0.180162 0.243887 0.337285 0.491979
2025-09-07 0.079955 0.103227 0.134612 0.181444 0.252190 0.359909 0.547123
2025-09-14 0.074503 0.097373 0.128749 0.176533 0.250551 0.366741 0.576774
2025-09-21 0.069075 0.091194 0.121973 0.169655 0.245092 0.366635 0.593970
2025-09-28 0.065121 0.086853 0.117533 0.165894 0.244090 0.373544 0.624587
2025-10-05 0.063590 0.085871 0.117887 0.169449 0.255126 0.401929 0.700209
2025-10-12 0.061803 0.084477 0.117625 0.172164 0.265296 0.430562 0.783049
2025-10-19 0.059602 0.082362 0.116159 0.172856 0.272141 0.454190 0.860879
2025-10-26 0.057176 0.079772 0.113794 0.171865 0.275892 0.472432 0.930877
2025-11-02 0.054711 0.076990 0.110950 0.169831 0.277507 0.486630 0.994603
2025-11-09 0.051888 0.073515 0.106808 0.165260 0.273951 0.489853 1.032241
2025-11-16 0.049585 0.070743 0.103645 0.162161 0.272877 0.498066 1.084462
2025-11-23 0.047541 0.068283 0.100856 0.159517 0.272409 0.507457 1.141996
2025-11-30 0.046380 0.067163 0.100193 0.160607 0.279353 0.533969 1.253822
2025-12-07 0.044289 0.064462 0.096762 0.156418 0.275248 0.534867 1.291174
2025-12-14 0.042008 0.061373 0.092549 0.150544 0.267216 0.525733 1.296128
2025-12-21 0.040341 0.059223 0.089839 0.147326 0.264485 0.528922 1.341113